The expected value of imperfection

The price of shipping is imperfection. If you wait for your product to be perfect, you’ll never finish it. Fortunately you can decide which features should be closer to perfect and which can slack off a little. The Kindle DX is a good case in point. Reading and flipping pages on the Kindle is a wonderful experience. On the other hand, using the keyboard is painful. The keys are hard to press. The modifier keys are confusing. Mistakes are easy to make, slow to spot and hard to correct. Yet despite all these problems, I still love the device.

A good way to square the great overall experience with a bad feature is the “suckage to usage” ratio. You can take any feature and say “it sucks,” but that doesn’t tell you anything about the whole product until you factor in how often you use the feature.

37signal's Ryan Singer makes an sharp observation about features on the Kindle by calculating their expected value based on how frequently you use certain functionality. He calls it a "suckage to usage" ratio. I wonder if the engeineers actually took this kind of analysis into consideration.

You can read the full blog post, but the formula he's created is this:

Expected Suckage
Ε(S) = ∑ (Feature Suckage • Feature Usage)

I actually think that this is a good way for accessing a lot of things. If you design something which focuses on doing a single task better than anything else (Kindle as the best book reader, iPod as the best music player, etc.) the goal for all the other features is simply to minimize their expected suckage.

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A trend I hope is reversed

Items Shipped to New York State
Effective June 1, 2008, Amazon.com LLC will begin collecting sales tax on items shipped to destinations within the State of New York as New York has enacted a new law requiring out-of-state sellers to collect and remit sales tax based on advertising. Amazon has filed a lawsuit challenging the constitutionality of this provision. However, as required by the law, we must still begin collecting New York sales tax beginning on that date.

Please note that if you place an order prior to June 1, 2008, your Order Total may not include an estimate of New York sales taxes, but those taxes may still be charged if your order is readied for shipment on or after that date.

It never really affected me until I moved to New York, but now I'm taxed on all orders I place with Amazon. This really sucks. I recently purchased an Amazon Prime membership so I could go back to buying everyday items from Amazon and get the two-day shipping for "free". One of the great things about Amazon is the free shipping and no sales tax. If you are buying something like a computer or TV, that's an instant savings of a few hundred dollars. Now that savings is not so much.

The New York Supreme Court approved the state's Internet tax, but Amazon is currently seeking an appeal from the Appellate Division. Other states have been talking about doing the same thing. I really hope this gets reversed. I can't even imagine what would happen to e-commerce if these sorts of taxes start expanding to other states.

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